Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 441 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 441 · DAL → ATL

departs 10:07 AM CT · arrives 1:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.29 in

ATL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 441 · DAL → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?