Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 484 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 484 · MCO → LAX

departs 6:28 AM ET · arrives 8:35 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 484 · MCO → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?