Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 487 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

DL 487 · AUS → TPA

departs 8:15 AM CT · arrives 11:48 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.38 in

TPA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 487 · AUS → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?