Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 494 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 494 · LAX → DTW

departs 9:45 AM PT · arrives 5:08 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at LAX that day

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.84 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 494 · LAX → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?