Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 512 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 512 · DAL → ATL

departs 3:59 PM CT · arrives 7:14 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 3pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.13 in

ATL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 512 · DAL → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?