Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 530 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 530 · ATL → DEN

departs 1:55 PM ET · arrives 2:58 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 530 · ATL → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?