Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 884 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 884 · TPA → JFK

departs 11:10 AM ET · arrives 1:58 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ 11am departures from TPA are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 884 · TPA → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?