Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 986 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

DL 986 · AUS → LAX

departs 4:15 PM CT · arrives 5:20 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ 4pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at LAX that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.66 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 986 · AUS → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?