Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 986 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 986 · LAX → AUS

departs 10:05 AM PT · arrives 3:20 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±2 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip2.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 986 · LAX → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?