Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1196
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
F9 1196 · BUR → LAS
departs 6:00 PM PT · arrives 7:21 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 30%
Mon 10/5 33%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±8 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.