Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1285
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 1285 · MCO → BNA
departs 9:05 AM ET · arrives 10:17 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 14%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
12%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↑
MCO is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.