Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1303
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 1303 · TPA → CVG
departs 7:45 AM ET · arrives 10:05 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CVG that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.26 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.63 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.