Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1545
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 1545 · RSW → CLE
departs 8:09 PM ET · arrives 10:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 30%
Wed 10/7 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
RSW usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.66 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.