Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1726
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 1726 · PHL → SJU
departs 10:59 PM ET · arrives 2:59 AM AT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 46%
Mon 10/5 33%
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↑
10pm departures from PHL are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PHL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.