Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1807
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 1807 · PHL → MCO
departs 8:10 AM ET · arrives 10:52 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.