Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1823
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
F9 1823 · SJU → MCO
departs 3:10 AM AT · arrives 6:10 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 19h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 22%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 19%
Fri 10/9 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.2d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.