Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2184
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 2184 · TPA → CLE
departs 9:52 PM ET · arrives 12:27 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±7 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
TPA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.26 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.70 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.