Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2432
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 2432 · MCO → LGA
departs 1:10 PM ET · arrives 4:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 39%
Tue 10/6 28%
Wed 10/7 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
56%
Arrive 1h+ late
34%
Cancelled
27%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
27%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↓
Other factors
↓
MCO is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.24 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.