Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2446
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 2446 · LAX → ORD
departs 11:59 PM PT · arrives 6:17 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 35%
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 37%
Tue 10/6 32%
Wed 10/7 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.2d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.