Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2529
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 2529 · MCO → DTW
departs 9:07 AM ET · arrives 11:55 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 9%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DTW that day
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 3.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.