Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2552 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

F9 2552 · ATL → PHL

departs 5:02 PM ET · arrives 7:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 49% of the time recently

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2552 · ATL → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?