Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2640 CANCELLED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

F9 2640 · DTW → RDU

departs 11:17 PM ET · arrives 12:35 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at RDU that day

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.43 in

RDU (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2640 · DTW → RDU

Odds over time