Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2698
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 2698 · PHX → CLE
departs 12:32 PM MT · arrives 7:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into CLE at that hour are often late
↑
12pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLE (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.