Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2885
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
F9 2885 · MCO → DFW
departs 8:40 AM ET · arrives 10:35 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 8%
Thu 10/8 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
8am departures from MCO are usually not late
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.