Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3014 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

F9 3014 · ATL → FLL

departs 2:53 PM ET · arrives 4:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3014 · ATL → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?