Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3178 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

F9 3178 · DFW → DTW

departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 10:54 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 2.1 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at DTW that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.83 in

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.93 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3178 · DFW → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?