Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Friday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3738 LANDED 7:55 PM PT, ~67 MIN EARLY

Friday, October 2

F9 3738 · SNA → LAS

took off 7:13 PM PT · landed 7:55 PM PT (scheduled 7:53 PM PT → 9:08 PM PT)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SNA that day

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3738 · SNA → LAS

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAS?