Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4017
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 4017 · MCO → DFW
departs 5:40 AM ET · arrives 7:33 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 8%
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
15%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
15%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from MCO are usually not late
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.