Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4462
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 4462 · PHL → SJU
departs 8:03 PM ET · arrives 11:58 PM AT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 35%
Sun 10/4 47%
Mon 10/5 40%
Tue 10/6 31%
Wed 10/7 32%
Thu 10/8 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±9 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.