Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4652
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
F9 4652 · SNA → DFW
departs 3:32 PM PT · arrives 8:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 33%
Fri 10/9 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SNA that day
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.