Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4661
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 4661 · MCO → PNS
departs 2:41 PM ET · arrives 3:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 44%
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
PNS usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
PNS (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.90 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.