Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 9136 LANDED 10:55 PM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

F9 9136 · ATL → TPA

took off 9:48 PM ET · landed 10:55 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ATL that day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 9136 · ATL → TPA

Odds over time