Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1075 LANDED 9:54 PM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

G4 1075 · PIE → TYS

took off 8:38 PM ET · landed 9:54 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at XNA that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from PIE are usually not late

Weather at each end

PIE (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

TYS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1075 · PIE → TYS

Odds over time