Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1285
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 1285 · SFB → USA
departs 12:44 PM ET · arrives 2:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 29%
Sun 10/11 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at USA more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
25%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at USA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at USA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
How late will it get to USA?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
25%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from SFB are often late
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at USA
↓
SFB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 1.04 in
USA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.