Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1375
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 1375 · LEX → SRQ
departs 10:24 AM ET · arrives 12:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at LEX that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Arrivals into SRQ at that hour are usually not late
↓
10am departures from LEX are usually not late
Weather at each end
LEX (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.19 in
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.