Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1411
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 1411 · TYS → EYW
departs 7:30 AM ET · arrives 9:41 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 12%
Sat 10/10 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
33%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at EYW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +26 pts in 24h
+26 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
How late will it get to EYW?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
33%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at EYW that day
↑
EYW is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
EYW (destination)
Gusts 45 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.