Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1449
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 1449 · VPS → TUL
departs 4:25 PM CT · arrives 6:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
VPS is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 1.38 mi Precip 3.74 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.