Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1451
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 1451 · BLV → VPS
departs 9:25 PM CT · arrives 11:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 30%
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±2 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave BLV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at VPS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to VPS?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at BLV that day
Weather at each end
BLV (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
VPS (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 1.38 mi Precip 3.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.