Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1454
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 1454 · VPS → BLV
departs 6:51 PM CT · arrives 8:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at BLV more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BLV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at BLV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BLV?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 1.38 mi Precip 3.74 in
BLV (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.