Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 196
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 196 · PIE → ABE
departs 6:55 PM ET · arrives 9:28 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 41%
Fri 10/9 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −20 pts in 24h
−20 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at ABE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABE?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↑
6pm departures from PIE are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PIE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
ABE (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.