Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1987
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 1987 · PIE → CVG
departs 9:00 AM ET · arrives 11:13 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
−18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −18 pts in 24h
−18 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CVG that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
9am departures from PIE are usually not late
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.