Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2017
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 2017 · PGD → CVG
departs 9:24 AM ET · arrives 11:41 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 20%
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CVG that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↓
9am departures from PGD are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CVG (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.