Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2141
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 2141 · SBN → FLL
departs 7:35 PM ET · arrives 10:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FLL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SBN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.45 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.