Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2239
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 2239 · PGD → IND
departs 6:13 PM ET · arrives 8:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±1 pts
−16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
IND (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.