Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2503
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 2503 · PGD → MLI
departs 3:00 PM ET · arrives 4:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 30%
Thu 10/8 18%
Fri 10/9 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at MLI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MLI?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
3pm departures from PGD are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MLI
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MLI (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.