Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2626 LANDED 10:07 PM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

G4 2626 · PIE → HTS

took off 8:30 PM ET · landed 10:07 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at HTS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SGF that day

↑ Other factors

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from PIE are usually not late

Weather at each end

PIE (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

HTS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility8.4 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2626 · PIE → HTS

Odds over time