Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2633
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 2633 · PIE → EYW
departs 2:47 PM ET · arrives 3:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 16%
Fri 10/9 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
16%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at EYW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to EYW?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 45 kt, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at EYW that day
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
EYW usually runs smoothly
↓
PIE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 3,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
EYW (destination)
Gusts 45 kt
Ceiling 1,400 ft
Visibility 0.25 mi
Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.