Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2635 LANDED 12:34 AM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

G4 2635 · COS → PIE

took off 7:39 PM MT · landed 12:34 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Other factors

↓ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at COS that day

↓ COS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

PIE (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2635 · COS → PIE

Odds over time