Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2705
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 2705 · SDF → PIE
departs 8:24 PM ET · arrives 10:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
−23 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −23 pts in 24h
−23 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↓
SDF usually runs smoothly
↓
SDF is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SDF (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.32 in
PIE (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.