Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2706
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 2706 · PIE → MDT
departs 5:53 PM ET · arrives 8:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Tue 10/6 25%
Fri 10/9 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
−21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −21 pts in 24h
−21 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at MDT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDT?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from PIE are often late
↓
MDT usually runs smoothly
↓
PIE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
MDT (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.